Summer Movie Contest Rules

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After the rules, check out my tips below

Step 1 - Pick the Top 20 Movies of Summer Including Their Box Office Grosses

Pick the top twenty money-making movies of the summer and their box office grosses between the day they are released and labor day.  "The Summer" is usually defined as the period between the first or second big movie release in May (traditionally memorial day weekend although during the last few years it's gotten earlier and earlier) and Labor Day.  This year (Summer 2007 as of this writing) the Summer starts with the release of Shrek The Third, but just to confuse people we also added Spider-Man 3.  By clicking the links above, you can check out some of the past contests to see what other's picks look like and what the top twenty movies of past summers look like. 

Step 2 - Pay your entry fee to Smokey

$30.  If we get less than 11 people, the winner takes all.  If we get more than 11 people, the 2nd place finisher gets roughly 20% and the winner gets the rest. 

Step 3 - Earn Points

    A.  5 Points for every film you have ranked correctly.

            For Example, if you have "Garfield 6: Garfield's Big Score" ranked as the number one movie of the summer and it makes more money than all other movies that come out during that period, you get 5 points. 

    B.  10 Points for every film who's gross you have within 1 million of the actual gross. 

            For Example, if you have "Garfield 6: Garfield's Big Score" making $469 million and it makes $468,434,102 you get 10 points.

    C.  5 Points for every film who's gross you have within 5 million of the actual gross.

            For Example, if you have "Garfield 6: Garfield's Big Score" making $469 million and it makes $465,434,102 you get 5 points.

    D.  1 Point for every film who's gross you have within 10 million of the actual gross.

            For Example, if you have "Garfield 6: Garfield's Big Score" making $469 million and it makes $460,434,102 you get 1 point.

    E.  5 Point Bonus for every film you have ranked correctly AND within 5 million of the actual gross. 

            For Example, you have "Garfield 6: Garfield's Big Score" ranked as the number 1 movie of the summer and have it making $469 million. If it actually makes $465,434,102 and is ranked number 1, you get 5 bonus points.  So that's a potential of 20 points per movie (5 for ranking, 10 for being within 1 million of the actual gross, and 5 bonus points for having the gross within 5 million and having the ranking correct). 

Note that for contest purposes all grosses are rounded down to the nearest million.  So $100,999,999 becomes $100 million. 

Step 4 - Enjoy the (almost) weekly updates and collect your winnings!!

Smokey and I will try to send out weekly updates on how the summer movies are going and after Labor Day we'll calculate all of the points.  If we get less than 11 people, the winner takes all.  If we get more than 11 people, the 2nd place finisher gets roughly 20% and the winner gets the rest.  That's it!

Don's Tips for Picking Grosses

These tips may not be worth anything, but you never know. 

1.  Check out Entertainment Weekly's Summer Movie Preview (it usually comes out in April).  It will give you a pretty good overview of what's coming out.

2.  Be sure to check out a reliable release schedule on line;  Boxofficemojo.com has a good one.  This will tell you which films are getting a wide release and which ones are only coming out limited.  Also, movies scheduled to come out in August have a habit of being pushed to the fall.  It's a good idea to make sure a film on your list hasn't been postponed. 

3.  Pick the grosses for each film before you set the rankings.  This may not work for everyone, but my opinion is that if you pick the rankings first, you end up painting yourself into a corner.  Pick the grosses and let the rankings fall into place. 

4.  Check out past Summer Movie Contests to see give yourself an idea of what the top 20 movies of summer traditionally make.  Your number 20 film shouldn't be much below 40 million for example. 

5.  Have fun with it.  Because really, if it's not fun, what's the point?